Monday 22 and Tuesday 23 March 2010
Organised by Professor Tim Palmer FRS and Professor Paul Hardaker
Please find below MP3 audio files recorded at this discussion meeting for the following talks and discussions.
View further details of this meeting including abstracts.
Introduction by Professor Tim Palmer, University of Oxford and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Download Introduction
Science as organised scepticism
Lord May of Oxford OM AC FRS, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, UK
Download May
Uncertainty and probability in physics, old and new
Professor Harvey Brown, University of Oxford, UK
Download Brown
Sources of uncertainty in deterministic dynamics
Professor Ian Stewart FRS, Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, UK
Download Stewart
Quantifying uncertainty
Professor David Spiegelhalter OBE FRS, Centre for Mathematical Science, University of Cambridge, UK
Download Speigelhalter
Uncertainty in weather and climate prediction
Professor Julia Slingo OBE, Met Office, Exeter, UK and Professor Tim Palmer FRS, University of Oxford and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, UK
Download Slingo
Uncertainties in predicting extremes of weather and climate
Professor Peter Webster, Schools of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences & Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, USA
Download Webster
Uncertainty in macroeconomic policy making: art or science?
Mr Mervyn King, Bank of England, UK
Download King
Uncertainty, ambiguity and risk in forming climate policy
Professor Leonard Smith, London School of Economics, UK
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Risk and regulation
Lord Krebs of Wytham, Jesus College, University of Oxford, UK
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A governmental perspective on uncertainties in the health sciences
Professor Sally Davies DBE, Department of Health, UK
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Uncertainties of quantum mechanics – faith or fantasy?
Sir Roger Penrose OM FRS, Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, UK
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Uncertainties in cosmology
Professor John D Barrow FRS, Centre for Mathematical Sciences, University of Cambridge, UK
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Communicating scientific uncertainty
Dr Philip Campbell, Nature, UK
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Making commercial decisions in the light of incertain scientific advice
Dr Nina M Skorupska, RWE AG, Germany
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Implications of uncertainty for Government
Rt Hon. Lord Smith of Finsbury, PC, Environment Agency, UK
Download Lord Smith
Panel discussion
Download Panel discussion