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Predictive ecology: systems approaches

Event

Starts:

April
182011

09:00

Ends:

April
192011

17:00

Location

The Royal Society, London, 6-9 Carlton House Terrace, London, SW1Y 5AG

Overview

 

Organised by Professor Matthew Evans, Professor Tim Benton and Professor Ken Norris.

Prediction is needed in ecology, not least because the world is changing and there is a demand for robust predictions about the ecological impact of these changes. Prediction is best when underpinned by process-based models, but complex ecological systems are problematic to model. We will explore different modelling approaches for ecological systems and the strengths and limitations of systems approaches.

Download the programme here (PDF).

The proceedings of this meeting have been published in a dedicated issue of Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B.

Biographies and audio recordings are available below.

Event organisers

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Schedule of talks

Session 1

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Dr Julie Maxton, Executive Director, Royal Society, and Professor Matthew Evans

Welcome

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Modelling ecological systems in a changing world

Professor Matthew Evans, University of Exeter, UK

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Inference to prediction in high-dimensional systems: the interactions behind biodiversity response to global change and resource competition

Professor James S Clark, Duke University

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Pattern-oriented modelling: a ‘multiscope’ for predictive ecology

Professor Volker Grimm, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research

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Matching the complexity of models and data: lessons from molecular systems biology and mathematics

Professor David Rand, University of Warwick

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Session 2

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Why predict?

Professor William Sutherland, University of Cambridge

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The philosophy of modelling

Dr Steve Orzack, Fresh Pond Research Institute

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Bioinformatics tools in predictive ecology: applications to fisheries

Dr Allan Tucker, Brunel University

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Scenarios of land use change and ecological impacts

Professor Mark Rounsevell, University of Edinburgh

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Session 3

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Systems approaches in population biology: lessons from a mite model system

Professor Tim Benton, University of Leeds, UK

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Ecology and evolution – why they should form a two-way street

Professor Hanna Kokko, Australian National University

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Systems approaches in ecosystem modelling

Professor Paul Moorcroft, Harvard University

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Interactions between human behaviour and ecological system dynamics

Dr Emily Nicholson, Imperial College London

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Session 4

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From genes to ecology

Dr Steven Penfield, University of York

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Systems approaches in global change and biogeochemistry

Professor Pete Smith, University of Aberdeen

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Predicting species distributions in a changing world

Dr Colin Beale, University of York

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Challenges for applied ecology

Professor Ken Norris, University of Reading, UK

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Predictive ecology: systems approaches The Royal Society, London 6-9 Carlton House Terrace London SW1Y 5AG UK