Skip to content
What's on

Predictive ecology: systems approaches









The Royal Society, London, 6-9 Carlton House Terrace, London, SW1Y 5AG



Organised by Professor Matthew Evans, Professor Tim Benton and Professor Ken Norris.

Prediction is needed in ecology, not least because the world is changing and there is a demand for robust predictions about the ecological impact of these changes. Prediction is best when underpinned by process-based models, but complex ecological systems are problematic to model. We will explore different modelling approaches for ecological systems and the strengths and limitations of systems approaches.

Download the programme here (PDF).

The proceedings of this meeting have been published in a dedicated issue of Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B.

Biographies and audio recordings are available below.

Event organisers

Select an organiser for more information

Schedule of talks

Session 1

5 talks Show detail Hide detail

Dr Julie Maxton, Executive Director, Royal Society, and Professor Matthew Evans


Show speakers

Modelling ecological systems in a changing world

Professor Matthew Evans, University of Exeter, UK

Show speakers

Inference to prediction in high-dimensional systems: the interactions behind biodiversity response to global change and resource competition

Professor James S Clark, Duke University

Show speakers

Pattern-oriented modelling: a ‘multiscope’ for predictive ecology

Professor Volker Grimm, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research

Show speakers

Matching the complexity of models and data: lessons from molecular systems biology and mathematics

Professor David Rand, University of Warwick

Show speakers

Session 2

4 talks Show detail Hide detail

Why predict?

Professor William Sutherland, University of Cambridge, UK

Show speakers

The philosophy of modelling

Dr Steve Orzack, Fresh Pond Research Institute

Show speakers

Bioinformatics tools in predictive ecology: applications to fisheries

Dr Allan Tucker, Brunel University

Show speakers

Scenarios of land use change and ecological impacts

Professor Mark Rounsevell, University of Edinburgh

Show speakers

Session 3

4 talks Show detail Hide detail

Systems approaches in population biology: lessons from a mite model system

Professor Tim Benton, University of Leeds, UK

Show speakers

Ecology and evolution – why they should form a two-way street

Professor Hanna Kokko, University of Zurich, Switzerland

Show speakers

Systems approaches in ecosystem modelling

Professor Paul Moorcroft, Harvard University

Show speakers

Interactions between human behaviour and ecological system dynamics

Dr Emily Nicholson, Imperial College London

Show speakers

Session 4

4 talks Show detail Hide detail

From genes to ecology

Dr Steven Penfield, University of York

Show speakers

Systems approaches in global change and biogeochemistry

Professor Pete Smith, University of Aberdeen

Show speakers

Predicting species distributions in a changing world

Dr Colin Beale, University of York

Show speakers

Challenges for applied ecology

Professor Ken Norris, University of Reading, UK

Show speakers
Predictive ecology: systems approaches

Scientific discussion meeting organised Professor Matthew Evans, Professor Tim Benton and Professor Ken Norris.

The Royal Society, London 6-9 Carlton House Terrace London SW1Y 5AG UK
Was this page useful?
Thank you for your feedback
Thank you for your feedback. Please help us improve this page by taking our short survey.