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Fellows Directory

Adrian Smith

Adrian Smith

Sir Adrian Smith FRS


Elected: 2001


Adrian Smith is a mathematician with particular expertise in the field of Bayesian statistics. In this widely applicable branch of mathematics, calculations are performed using parameters that are themselves accorded probabilities rather than being treated as fixed values. Such an approach, which relies on observational data for the probabilities to be assigned, makes Bayesian statistics a vital tool for evidence-based policy.

Adrian’s comprehensive monographs on diverse areas of Bayesian statistics have had a major impact on the monitoring of medical professionals, and he remains a strong supporter of their use in other fields of public policy.

Adrian has won the Royal Statistical Society’s Guy Medal in both Bronze and Silver, and served from 1995 to 1997 as its President. In the 2011 New Year Honours list, he was awarded the title of Knight Bachelor.

Interest and expertise

Subject groups

  • Mathematics
    • Statistics and Operational Research
  • Health and human sciences
    • Medical statistics and demography
  • Other
    • Public understanding of science
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