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Taking a systems approach: defining the agenda for ecological forecasting

Event

Starts:

April
202011

09:00

Ends:

April
212011

17:00

Location

Kavli Royal Society Centre, Chicheley Hall, Newport Pagnell, Buckinghamshire, MK16 9JJ

Overview

 

Image courtesy of Matthew Evans.

Organised by Professor Matthew Evans, Professor Tim Benton and Professor Ken Norris

Rigorous methods are required to enable robust predictions to be made about the future state of the biological world under conditions of environmental change. The development of robust process-based approaches to modelling ecological systems, to provide these predictions, will be a challenging task. A well-defined research agenda is required so that new approaches can be brought to bear, with some urgency, onto questions of societal need. Input is required from diverse communities to better understand the nature of the challenges and the types of questions both for which society needs answers and for which data exists to provide these answers.

Programme available to download here (PDF)

Biographies and audio recordings are available below.

 

Schedule of talks

Organisers

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Organiser

Professor Matthew Evans, University of Exeter, UK

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Organiser

Professor Tim Benton, University of Leeds, UK

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Organiser

Professor Ken Norris, University of Reading, UK

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Session 1

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The need for ecological predictions to inform policy decisions

Professor Robert Watson, DEFRA

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Predicting the consequences of policy and technology change

Mr Paul Leonard, BASF SE, Belgium

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Session 2

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Conservation management for an uncertain future

Dr Mike Morecroft, Natural England, UK

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Can recurrent patterns of plant specialisation help summarizing ecosystem properties?

Professor Sandra Diaz, National University of Córdoba, Argentina

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Session 3

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Global variation in the structure and function of ecosystems

Dr Drew Purves, Microsoft Research, UK

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Analytical mathematical methods in ecology

Dr Stephen Cornell, University of Leeds, UK

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Session 4

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An empirical approach to eco-evolutionary complexity: a long-term experiment in Trinidadian streams

Dr Andrés López-Sepulcre, École Normale Superiéure de Paris/CNRS, France

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Harvest-induced life-history evolution in exploited fish populations: empirical evidence and forecasting of evolutionary changes and their demographic consequences

Dr Bruno Ernande, French Research Institute for Exploration of the Sea, France

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Taking a systems approach: defining the agenda for ecological forecasting

Satellite meeting organised by Professor Matthew Evans, Professor Tim Benton and Professor Ken Norris.

Kavli Royal Society Centre, Chicheley Hall Newport Pagnell Buckinghamshire MK16 9JJ