Marine biodiversity loss, fishing, and climate change

08 - 09 December 2025 09:00 - 17:00 The Royal Society Free Watch online
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Discussion meeting organised by Professor Richard Sanders, Professor Alex Poulton, Professor Stephanie Henson, Dr Emma Cavan, and Professor Alessandro Tagliabue.

The twin crises of biodiversity loss and rapid climate change are often considered as inextricably linked, a perspective largely developed based on terrestrial systems. In the ocean this linkage has been largely overlooked and this meeting will address this gap to recognise the role of ocean biodiversity loss in regulating climate and delivering food security.

Poster session

There will be a poster session on Monday 08 December. If you would like to present a poster, please submit your proposed title, abstract (up to 200 words), author list, and the name of the proposed presenter and institution to the Scientific Programmes team. Acceptances may be made on a rolling basis so we recommend submitting as soon as possible in case the session becomes full. Submissions made within one month of the meeting may not be included in the programme booklet.

Attending the event

This event is intended for researchers in relevant fields.

  • Free to attend
  • Both virtual and in-person attendance is available. Advance registration is essential
  • Lunch is available on both days of the meeting for an optional £25 per day. There are plenty of places to eat nearby if you would prefer to purchase food offsite. Participants are welcome to bring their own lunch to the meeting

Enquiries: Scientific Programmes team.

Organisers

  • Professor Richard Sanders

    Professor Richard Sanders

    Professor Richard Sanders currently serves as the Director of the Integrated Carbon Observing System (ICOS) Ocean Thematic Centre (OTC) in NORCE (the Norwegian Research Centre), and the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR) in Bergen, Norway. He maintains an active research portfolio including coordinating OceanICU, a grant focused on the role industrial processes play in controlling Ocean C storage. Recently, they have begun to address the challenge of how multiple observing systems can work together to address key ocean science questions and Professor Sanders is leading TRICUSO, an EU grant focused on integrating effort from European Research Infrastructures to quantify the Southern Ocean carbon sink.

    Prior to his move to Bergen, Professor Sanders served as Chair of the Ocean Biogeochemistry and Ecosystems (OBE) Research Group at the UK National Oceanography Centre. They developed a programme of Biological Carbon Pump research addressing key questions around iron limitation of carbon export in the Southern Ocean, Twilight Zone Carbon cycling and the solubility pump. Core actions included leading the departmental science programme, raising funds, overseeing publications, maintaining financial control over the department, advocating for the department, mentoring and managing & deputising for the Director of Research. Prior to becoming Department Chair, he ran a personal research group which contained one/ two postdocs, one technician, one/ two research fellows and several graduate students.

    Professor Sanders has spent over 2 years at sea on NERC vessels including 3 cruises as chief scientist (CROZEX in 2005, and Twilight Zone cruises to the PAP site in 2009 and the Southern Ocean in 2017). Lead PI on NERC Large Grant COMICS (Controls over Ocean Mesopelagic Carbon Storage) and NERC Cross Centre proposal LOCATE (Land Ocean Carbon Transfers).

  • Professor Alex J Poulton

    Professor Alex Poulton

    Professor Poulton is a sea-going marine scientist exploring the quantitative links between plankton diversity and biogeochemical cycles. Professor Poulton uses field observations and experiments to examine how biomineralising plankton influence the cycling of elements essential for marine life, such as carbon, nitrogen, silica, and iron. As a field scientist he has worked across the global ocean, from the tropics to the poles and from the coast to the open ocean, participating in 23 expeditions aboard national and international research vessels. His current research focus is on the production and loss processes associated with marine carbonates, and how they respond to natural and anthropogenic pressures. Professor Poulton did a PhD and postdoc at the University of Southampton, and then a NERC fellowship at the National Oceanography Centre (NOC) and subsequently became a member of staff at the NOC. In 2017 he left NOC and took up a position in Heriot-Watt’s new Global Research Institute, the Lyell Centre for Earth and Marine Science, a joint venture between NERC, the Scottish Funding Council and Heriot-Watt University. Professor Poulton heads the OceanCANDY (Carbon and nutrient dynamics) research group at Heriot-Watt University. Professor Poulton heads the OceanCANDY (Carbon and nutrient dynamics) research group at Heriot-Watt University, is the co-convenor of the Biogeochemistry Forum for MASTS (Marine Alliance for Science and Technology for Scotland) and from October will become the chair of the UK SCOR (Scientific Committee on Oceanic Research) panel (he is currently the Vice-Chair).

  • Professor Stephanie Henson

    Professor Stephanie Henson

    Professor Stephanie Henson is a Principal Scientist at the National Oceanography Centre and Honorary Professor at the University of Southampton. She leads a large, active research group in global biogeochemical oceanography. Her particular research interests aim at understanding the natural variability and climate change effects on phytoplankton populations, and subsequent impacts on the biological carbon pump. Her research exploits autonomous vehicles, satellite and in situ data, as well as output from biogeochemical models. In 2024, she received the European Geosciences Union’s Fridtjof Nansen medal for “outstanding research into the ocean’s role in the carbon cycle, built on her extraordinary ability to combine diverse observational data with novel biogeochemical models.” She was a lead author on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s 6th Assessment Report, on the chapter “Carbon and other biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks”.

  • Dr Emma Cavan

    Dr Emma Cavan

    Emma is an Associate Professor at Imperial College London based in the Department of Life Sciences at Silwood Park. Her expertise lies with carbon cycling by marine life, specifically within the ocean biological carbon pump. She is particularly interested in the role of zooplankton, Antarctic krill and their faeces in sinking carbon to the deep ocean, microbial turnover of carbon and sequestration times. She is also interested in the impacts of fishing on oceanic carbon, and co-chairs an ICES working group/workshop on this subject.

  • Professor Alessandro Tagliabue

    Professor Alessandro Tagliabue

    Professor Tagliabue is a Professor at the University of Liverpool and an ocean biogeochemist, interested in how the cycling of resources in the sea affects biological activity and vice-versa. He is particularly interested in trace micronutrients and how they interact together to shape primary production, ecosystem structure and the global carbon cycle. His science links numerical models, at both global and idealised scales, with both fieldwork and synthesis of datasets. He is heavily involved in the international GEOTRACES programme, he is a lead author on the IPCC Special Report on Oceans and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate and is a member of the governing council of the UK Challenger Society for Marine Science. He is also UK Chair for SCOR and sits on the Royal Society Global Environment Research Committee.

Schedule

Chair

Professor Richard Sanders

Professor Richard Sanders

Norwegian Research Centre, Norway

09:00-09:05 Welcome by the Royal Society and lead organiser
09:05-09:30 Climate change impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem services
Professor Camille Parmesan

Professor Camille Parmesan

Centre national de la recherche Scientifique, France

09:30-09:45 Discussion
09:45-10:15 Perspectives and trade-offs from protecting the ocean for biodiversity, food, and climate
Professor William Cheung

Professor William Cheung

The University of British Columbia, Canada

10:15-10:30 Discussion
10:30-11:00 Break
11:00-11:20 Feedbacks between changing communities, bio-geographies and ocean biogeochemistry
Dr Stephanie	Dutkiewicz

Dr Stephanie Dutkiewicz

Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA

11:20-11:30 Discussion
11:30-11:50 Tara oceans and insights into biodiversity
Dr Lionel Guidi

Dr Lionel Guidi

Centre national de la recherche Scientifique, France

11:50-12:00 Discussion
12:00-12:20 Experimental approaches for understanding trait plasticity and rapid evolution in phytoplankton

Plastic and evolutionary responses to climate change in marine primary producers has the potential to affect biogeochemical processes and higher trophic levels, but breaking this down into processes that can be understood, quantified, contextualised, and modelled is challenging. Microbial experiments are useful in that controlled and replicated laboratory experiments can establish causal links between drivers and organismal responses, and functional forms of relationships between trait values and environmental states can be defined. However, contextualising microbial eco-evolution experiments requires close collaborations between experimentalists and modelers, as well as the development of experimental systems that can (and do) provide both process-based and ecosystem-specific knowledge. Professor Collins will discuss recent advances in phytoplankton ecophysiology and evolution experiments in terms of how they can contribute to our ability to explain and model shifts in primary production under multiple environmental changes, and highlight gaps in linking this to biodiversity shifts.

Professor Sinéad Collins

Professor Sinéad Collins

University of Edinburgh, UK

12:20-12:30 Discussion

Chair

Professor Alex J Poulton

Professor Alex Poulton

Norwegian Research Centre, Norway

13:30-14:00 Variable linkages between biodiversity and stoichiometry in the plankton

Ocean systems are characterised by diverse phytoplankton assemblages that themselves vary on a range of time-scales, but the question remains how phytoplankton biodiversity is reflected in the stoichiometry of particulate matter, the Redfield Ratio, in the ocean. In the open ocean it is generally concluded that the linkage between biodiversity and stoichiometry is through the variability in larger phytoplankton (eg diatoms) to smaller picophytoplankton (eg cyanobacteria). At the Bermuda Atlantic Time-series Study (BATS) site, this is generally the case with a seasonal increase in particulate organic carbon to phosphorus (POC:P) ratios that align with the seasonal accumulation of Prochlorococcus biomass. A similar pattern is observed over longer time series records, where again at BATS a multi-year increase in the POC:P ratio is aligned with the dramatic reduction in the presence of larger phytoplankton. The same observation cannot be said for spatial relationships between phytoplankton biodiversity and stoichiometry where despite similar patterns in phytoplankton assemblages, variability in the physical environment induces a complex interplay between biodiversity and phytoplankton physiological acclimation. A broader ocean look at the relationships between phytoplankton physiology, biodiversity, and plankton stoichiometry support a similarly complicated relationship mediated by ocean physics. These relationships are not just restricted to the tropical and subtropical latitudes. With ocean warming, populations of cyanobacteria, Synechococcus, are becoming more prevalant in Arctic ecosystems and already having a demonstrated impact on stoichiometry. The impacts of these interactions on marine biogeochemistry and the functioning of ocean food webs is only now beginning to be understood.

Dr Michael Lomas

Dr Michael Lomas

Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences, USA

14:00-14:15 Discussion
14:15-14:45 Warming-driven shifts in North Atlantic plankton

The Continuous Plankton Recorder (CPR) survey provides the longest and most spatially extensive plankton time-series in the North Atlantic, essential for detecting long-term biodiversity changes. Using CPR data from the Labrador Sea and North-West Atlantic, we show that since the 1980s, warming has driven increased diatom abundance at higher latitudes, where enhanced stratification and a weakened Labrador Current have reduced light limitation. Meanwhile, diatom abundance has declined in subtropical regions due to intensified nutrient limitation.

Ecological niche models suggest this trend may soon reverse, with nutrient constraints increasingly outweighing light availability, leading to an overall decline in diatoms and a shift towards more elongated taxa and dinoflagellates, signalling a potential tipping point toward reduced productivity and carbon export in the Subpolar Gyre (SPG).

These findings highlight how shifts in plankton communities could cascade through marine ecosystems, affecting food webs and carbon cycling, given varying carbon export efficiencies among species. Long-term datasets provided by the CPR alongside enhanced measurements, remain vital for tracking these dynamics, improving our ability to predict and respond to emerging biophysical shifts in the ocean.

Dr Clare Ostle

Dr Clare Ostle

The Marine Biological Association, UK

14:45-15:00 Discussion
15:00-15:30 Break
15:30-15:50 Bio-GO-SHIP: A platform to monitor ocean biodiversity
Dr Sophie Clayton

Dr Sophie Clayton

National Oceanography Centre, UK

15:50-16:00 Discussion
16:00-16:20 Mixotrophy: complicating biodiversity or adding resilience?
Dr Ben Ward

Dr Ben Ward

University of Southampton, UK

16:20-16:30 Discussion
16:30-17:00 Poster flash talks

Chair

Dr Emma Cavan

Dr Emma Cavan

Imperial College London, UK

09:00-09:30 Biodiversity in Twilight Zone functioning
Dr Debbie Steinburg

Dr Debbie Steinburg

Virginia institute of Marine Science, USA

09:30-09:45 Discussion
09:45-10:15 Evolutionary theory, ecosystem structure and function
Professor Ken H Andersen

Professor Ken H Andersen

Technical University of Denmark, Denmark

10:15-10:30 Discussion
10:30-11:00 Break
11:00-11:20 Biodiversity of fish communities: human impacts and resilience
Professor Julia Blanchard

Professor Julia Blanchard

University of Tasmania, Australia

11:20-11:30 Discussion
11:50-12:00 Discussion
12:20-12:30 Discussion

Chair

Professor Stephanie Henson

Professor Stephanie Henson

National Oceanography Centre, UK

13:30-14:00 Fossil biodiversity and ecosystem function: insights from marine plankton

The fossil record offers critical insights into how biodiversity, biogeography, and ecosystem function respond to climate change over geological timescales. Planktonic foraminifera, with their exceptional fossil preservation, global distribution, and ecological diversity, provide a uniquely powerful system for examining these long-term dynamics in the open ocean. Their record captures changes in species richness, ecological traits, and community composition across major climate perturbations, allowing for an assessment of how environmental stress reshapes both ecosystem structure and spatial patterns of biodiversity.

This contribution synthesises data on shifts in foraminiferal biogeography alongside evidence for ecological and functional turnover. It explores how these spatial dynamics relate to broader environmental drivers such as ocean temperature, productivity, and stratification, and considers the extent to which biogeographic and functional responses vary during periods of rapid climate change.

Understanding these relationships in the deep past provides a valuable baseline for assessing the resilience of modern marine ecosystems. The fossil record of planktonic foraminifera demonstrates that rapid environmental change does not always equate to functional collapse and highlights the conditions under which ecosystem processes persist or reorganise in response to environmental stress. These insights are essential for informing biodiversity and ecosystem service frameworks in the context of ongoing and future climate change.

Dr Tracy Aze

Dr Tracy Aze

University of Plymouth, UK

14:00-14:15 Discussion
14:15-14:45 Diatom biogeography, evolution, and biogeochemistry
Dr Pedro Cermeno

Dr Pedro Cermeno

Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Spain

14:45-15:00 Discussion
15:00-15:30 Break
15:30-16:00 Modelling ecosystem dynamics and carbon cycle interactions in a rapidly changing environment

The impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems and the cascading feedbacks on the carbon cycle and climate have been highlighted as a “known-unknown” in the past four Assessment reports of the IPCC. The quantification of ecosystem-led carbon-climate feedbacks requires a realistic representation of marine ecosystem structure and functioning in global ocean carbon cycle models. Here, Professor Le Quéré will present an effort to introduce functional diversity in the PlankTOM global ocean biogeochemistry model based on the representation Plankton Functional Types (PFTs), grouping organisms according to their influence on carbon fluxes. PlankTOM uniquely represents explicitly heterotrophic bacteria/archaea, six types of phytoplankton, and five types of zooplankton. The model parameters are set following three optimisation logic using available observations, producing three branches based on the same model structure and physical environment but with different outcomes. Results show how the differences in ecosystem outcomes transfer through to differences in carbon dynamics, including primary and secondary production, and carbon export to the ocean interior. We then use emergent properties of the model to evaluate proximity to observed ecosystem dynamics. We further demonstrate that the addition of a viral component exerts an important influence on recycling and export. The presentation will argue that a new generation of Ocean Systems Models (OSM) is needed to build the tools necessary to address marine issues including ecosystem-led carbon-climate feedbacks, risks of ecosystem shifts and tipping points, ocean productivity and food resources, and the effectiveness of proposed active marine carbon dioxide removals.

Professor Corinne Le Quéré CBE FRS

Professor Corinne Le Quéré CBE FRS

University of East Anglia, UK

16:00-16:15 Discussion
16:15-17:00 Panel discussion: overview and future directions
Professor Alessandro Tagliabue

Professor Alessandro Tagliabue

University of Liverpool, UK